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Resource Directory: Modeling Tools

Waiting times analysis

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Allison, P. D.
Discrete Time Methods for the Analysis of Event Histories
in S. Leinhardt (ed.), Sociological Methodology.
Jossey-Bass
San Francisco.
1982
page/pp 61-98.

Biener, Henry and Nicholas Van de Valle
Of Time and Power
Leadership Duration in the Modern World
Stanford Univ. Press
Stanford, CA.
1991
waiting times analysis of 2,400 leaders; event data source

Cioffi-Revilla, Claudio
Political Reliability Theory and War in the International System
American J. Political Science
Vol 29, Nbr 1, Feb..
1985
page/pp 45-68.

Cox, D. R.
Partial Likelihood
Biometrika
Vol 64, Nbr 2.
1975
page/pp 269-276.

Cox, D. R.
Regression Models and Life-Tables (with discussion)
J. of the Royal Statistical Society (Series B)
Vol 24, Nbr 2.
1972
page/pp 187-220.

Flemming, T. R. and D. P. Harrington
A Class of Hypothesis Tests for One and Two Sample Censored Survival Data
Communications in Statistics - Theory- Methodology
Vol A10, Nbr 8.
1981
page/pp 763-794.

Gill, Richard D.
Understanding Cox's Regression Model
A Martingale Approach
J. American Statistical Asso.
Vol 79 386, June.
1984
page/pp 441-447.

Horvath, William J.
A Statistical Model for the Duration of Wars and Strikes
Behavioral Science
Vol 13, Nbr 1, Jan.
1968
page/pp 18-28.
hazard rate

Horvath, William J. and Caxton C. Foster
Stochastic Models of War Alliances
J. Conflict Resolution
Vol VII, Nbr 2, June.
1963
page/pp 110-116.
hazard rate

Houweling, Henk W. and J. B. Kune
Do Outbreaks of War Follow a Poisson-Process?
J. Conflict Resolution
Vol 28, Nbr 1, March.
1984
page/pp 51-61.
hazard rate

Kalbfleisch, J.G. and R. L. Prentice
The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data
John Wiley
New York.
1980
discusses maximum likelihood estimation

King, Gary
Unifying Political Methodology
The Likelihood Theory of Statistical Inference
Cambridge Univ. Press
Cambridge.
1989

King, Gary and Langche Zeng
Logistic Regression in Rare Events Data
http://www.gov.harvard.edu

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