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Directory: Modeling Tools

Choice theory
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Allison, Graham T.
Essence of Decision
Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis
Little, Brown and Co.
Boston.
1971
Amerson, Andrew D.
An Analysis of Two Theories of Decision Making
Disjointed Incrementalism and Maximization of Power
Dept. of Political Science
Univ. of Mich., Ann Arbor.
1966 Axelrod, Robert M.
Conflict of Interest
A Theory of Divergent Goals with Applications to Politics
Markham Pub. Co.
Chicago.
1970
Blair, Bruce G. and Henry W. Kendall
Accidental Nuclear War
Scientific American
Vol 263, Nbr 6, Dec..
1990
page/pp 53-58.
Bracken, Paul
The Command and Control of Nuclear Forces
Yale Univ. Press
New Haven, CT.
1983
armaments source
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce
An Expected Utility Theory of International Conflict
An Exploratory Study
American Political Science Rev.
Dec.
1980
page/pp 917-931.
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce
The War Trap
Yale University Press
New Haven, CT.
1981
Carter, Ashton B.
The Command and Control of Nuclear War
Scientific American
Vol 252, Nbr 1, Jan.
1985
page/pp 32-39.
Janis, Irving
Groupthink
Psychological Studies of Foreign-Policy Decisions and Fiascoes
2nd, rev. edition.
Houghton, Mifflin
Boston.
1983
Jervis, Robert
Deterrence Theory Revisited
ACIS Working Paper No. 14
Center for Arms Control and International Security
Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA.
1978
Kugler, Jacek
Terror Without Deterrence
Reassessing the Role of Nuclear Weapons
J. Conflict Resolution
Vol 28, Nbr 3, Sept.
1984
page/pp 470-506.
Lasswell, Harold D.
World Politics and Personal Insecurity
Free Press
New York.
1965
Leng, Russell J.
When Will They Ever Learn?
Coercive Bargaining in Recurrent Crises
J. Conflict Resolution
Vol 27, Sept.
1983
page/pp 379-419.
Lindbloom, Charles E.
The Science of 'Muddling Through'
Public Administration Review
Vol XIX, Spring.
1959
page/pp 79-88.
McGuire, Martin
A Quantitative Study of the Strategic Arms Race in the Missile Age
The Review of Economics and Statistics
Vol LIX, Nbr 3, Aug.
1977
page/pp 328-339.
McGuire, Martin
Secrecy and the Arms Race
Vol. 125, Harvard Economic Studies
Harvard Univ. Press
Cambridge, MA.
1965
Morrow, James D.
A Spatial Model of International Conflict
American Political Science Review
Vol 80, Apr.
1986
page/pp 1131-1150.
Morrow, James D.
A Twist of Truth
A Reexamination of the Effects of Arms Races on the Occurrence of War
J. Conflict Resolution
Vol 33, Nbr 3, Sept.
1989
page/pp 500-529.
Riker, William H.
The Theory of Political Coalitions
Yale Univ. Press
New Haven, CT.
1962
Rosenau, James N.
Calculated Control as a Unifying Concept in the Study of International Politics
and Foreign Policy
in James N. Rosenau (ed.)
The Scientific Study of Foreign Policy. rev. editi
Nichols Publishing Company
New York.
1980
Steinbruner, John
Launch Under Attack
Scientific American
Vol 250, Nbr 1, Jan.
1984
page/pp 37-47.
Tsaganea, Doru
A Model for the Study of Strategic Defense Expenditures
at Eastern Economic Assn. annual meeting
Washington.
Graduate program in political science
New York Univ., New York. March.
1987
Tsaganea, Doru
A Remark on the Propensity To Use Nuclear Weapons During a Confrontation
at Correlates of War project seminar.
Graduate program in political science
New York Univ., New York. Aug.
1989
Wallace, Michael D. and Brian L. Crissey,
Linn I. Sennott
Accidental Nuclear War
A Risk Assessment
J. Peace Research
Vol 23, Nbr 1.
1986
page/pp 9-27.
Whaley, Barton
Codeword BARBAROSA
MIT Press
Cambridge, MA.
1973
dispute source
Whaley, Barton
Stratagem
Deception and Surprise
Frederick A. Praeger
New York.
1973
Williamson, Paul R.
Accident and Deliberation as Elements in the Outbreak of War
Peace Research Reviews
Vol V, Nbr 4.
1986
page/pp 76-83.
Williamson, Samuel R.
Stumbling Toward War
Organizational Structure and the Austro-Hungarian Experience, 1912-1914
at American Pol. Sci. Assn. annual meeting
Chicago.
Dept. History, Harvard Univ.
Cambridge, MA. 7-11 Sept.
1971
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