Global Vision - What's New - Integrated human-environmental computer-based global forecasting to aid strategic planning

Global Vision, Inc. ...

… Is pursuing development of the Demonstration Global Model, embodying, in miniature, many of the features—computational, dynamic, coupled, empirically validated—that we contemplate for a full-scale global model. This utility will be accessible to any user, via a graphical user interface located on this Global Vision site. To learn more, click here.

… Each of the past 14 years—Held annual meetings in Ann Arbor, Michigan. At the 14th of these, October 12, 2008, the featured item was a discussion of the GVI Demonstration Model, above.

… Looks forward to its 15th Annual Meeting, to be held Sunday, October 11, 2009 from 10 a.m. to 2 p.m.. Ann Arbor offices of Butzel Long. For further information contact Paul Williamson, as indicated at the bottom of this message.

… Is nearing installation of a blog on which to promote discussion of computational global forecasting.

… December 2008—To U.S. National Science Foundation, submitted a preliminary research funding proposal, “CDI-Type II: Modeling the Coupled Global System”.

… August/September 2008—In Ann Arbor, presented 3-part seminar, Data Based Global Modeling. To learn more, click here.

… March 2008—Organized and led two panel sessions on global modeling and prediction, presented at annual meeting, in San Francisco, of the International Studies Association. Of the 15 participants in the two sessions, 10 were GVI affiliates and 4 others were co-authors with GVI affiliates. To learn more, click here.

... November 2005—At annual meeting, in Iowa City, of Peace Science Society, International, presented reviewed September forecasting conference (see below). Review featured discussants from University of Idaho, University of Michigan, and State University of New York at Binghamton.

… September 2005—With Faculty Research Club, University of Michigan and Hoover Institution, Stanford University, co-sponsored/organized/led a conference, Illuminating the Shadow of the Future: Scientific Prediction and the Human Condition, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor. (To learn more, click here.)

… September 2005 - present—Many of the above University of Michigan conference presentations will appear in a forthcoming book, Prediction: Breakthroughs in Science, Markets, and Politics, University of Michigan Press, now being edited by Global Vision affiliates Francis W. Wayman, Jr., Paul R. Williamson, and Bruce Bueno de Mesquita, with funding support from Hoover Institution and the University of Michigan.

… In addition to the above, has presented at public and scientific meetings held at:
~ Ann Arbor, Michigan (Peace Science Society)
~ Atlanta (International Studies Association)
~ Bolton, Ontario (International Federation of Automatic Control / Scientists for Peace Workshop)
~ Champaign-Urbana, Illinois (Peace Science Society)
~ Chicago (Sigma Xi Forum on Sustainable Development, Loyola University, Chicago)
~ Honolulu (International Studies Association)
~ Houston (Peace Science Society)
~ Los Angeles (informal meetings)
~ New Haven, Connecticut (Peace Science Society)
~ San Diego (World Congress on Neural Networks)
~ Tucson, Arizona (Peace Science Society)

… Has prepared many reports and proposals on computational, dynamic, empirical global modeling, some of which are on-line, as:
http://www.globechange.org/resource_docs/isa-hnl-paper_070713_rev.pdf
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/Prop9511_proliferation.pdf
http://www.globechange.org/seminar.php
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/04011301_rpt-9601.pdf
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/basic_ms_031017.pdf
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/large-conf_rev_031017.pdf
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/04011302_rpt-0201.pdf
http://www.bepress.com/peps/vol6/iss4/
http://www.globechange.org/pdfs/use-of-artificial-n-n_input-output-model_090217.pdf

… Has created the beginnings of a comprehensive computational global modeling Resource Directory. (To learn more, click here.)

… Created this web site, with professional design and programming assistance provided by the Nonprofit Enterprise at Work (NEW) Center, Ann Arbor, MI, USA, with funds from corporate sponsor SBC. We thank all these parties. In addition, we especially thank Datla Raju, who is currently maintaining and updating the web site.

For more information on any of the above or any other aspect of the Global Vision program, contact:

Paul Williamson
Global Vision, Inc.
P.O. Box 4394
Ann Arbor, MI 48106-4394
Email: paulrw@globechange.org
Phone: (734) 904-3472

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