Global Vision - Our Mission - Integrated human-environmental computer-based global forecasting to aid strategic planning

...to apply integrated human-environmental computer-based global forecasting to support strategic planning and to address issues of environment, sustainable development, public health, climate change, international security, and other public and private issues the require high quality forecasting. Approach emphasizes diverse quantitative dynamic forecasting techniques, connections across a broad spectrum of factors, and data-based validation.

In More Detail...

The mission of Global Vision, Inc. (GVI) is:

• in collaboration with others, to develop sub-models that are linked to the general model and tailored to more specific concerns of public and private users (see “Collaborating With ...” , below on this page);

• to empower others to maintain such forecasting tools and to apply them to developmental, economic, investment, international security, epidemiological and other policy issues, based on the connections among …

and other trends, hazards, and factors in human society and our natural environment—again, see the pages on dynamic global modeling—so as …

• to provide a better basis for anticipating and dealing with complex policy and management problems in all parts and levels of society by improving human ability to predict future consequences – positive or negative – of policies and actions;

• to improve our ability to anticipate, assess, and cope with the various potential dangers and opportunities of social and environmental change;

• to enable forecasting to support the common future that all of us on the planet Earth share.

What is to be predicted?

Initial focus will be on predicting economic factors, violent domestic and international conflict, with attention to the relationships among them (for example, the relationship by which war may affect economic growth).

Eventually, however, prediction must be about future consequences concerning as many as practical of the long list of items at the top of our home page, plus others, as they come to our attention.

We believe as many as practical of these items must be considered in the modeling endeavor because, in reality, there are many connections among them.

Click here to view a supporting document illustrating this idea. As more items and the connections between them are considered, the better the forecasting of any one of them will become. That is one of the key beliefs that distinguishes Global Vision, Inc.

So the actual list of factors and problems is open-ended—the idea is to progressively include more and more of whatever fits, as requisite information and resources to work with it become available.

Who will receive assistance from global forecasting?

Global Vision will make its global models and the forecasts obtained from them available to persons in every area of human life, public and private, throughout the world,

Including to…

• private persons
• policy activists
• policy makers
• business managers
• analysts
• planners
• global system scientists.

Collaborating With Other Public and Private Groups and Organizations

The model for which we aim—or rather, various augmented variants of it—can be tailored to the specific situation and experience of particular public and private groups and organizations, to all of whom we are ready to give assistance on the problem of forecasting the consequences of policies.

In applying this program to such particular situations, Global Vision will collaborate with people in the group or organization. Appropriate organizational-situation, global factors-relationships, and modeling techniques knowledge, will be identified and combined to develop a particular forecasting application. Collaborating organization will acquire ability, within (“stand alone’), to use and maintain its application of the basic model.

Click here to view how Global Vision’s approach can help your business.

End result will be a better basis for short- and long-run problem anticipation and planning.

Our Mission

In Brief, Our Mission is...

In More Detail...

What is to be predicted?

Who will receive assistance from global forecasting?

Collaborating With Other Public and Private Groups and Organizations