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	<title>Dynamic Global Models &#187; References and Reviews</title>
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	<description>Mathematical and computational models of world dynamics: Hereâ€™s a place where we can hold conversations about global models, integrations among many diverse models with human, technological, and environmental aspects, and the elements that may contribute to them. If you think your work will be interesting to our readers, we invite you to apply to be one of our blog authors: send an email to blogmaster@globechange.org</description>
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		<title>A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability</title>
		<link>http://www.globechange.org/blogs/DynamicGlobalModels/2010/01/20/a-global-model-for-forecasting-political-instability/</link>
		<comments>http://www.globechange.org/blogs/DynamicGlobalModels/2010/01/20/a-global-model-for-forecasting-political-instability/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 21:12:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>George S Cowan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[References and Reviews]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.globechange.org/blogs/DynamicGlobalModels/?p=35</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Abstract:
Examining onsets of political instability in countries worldwide from 1955 to 2003, we develop a model that distinguishes countries that experienced instability from those that remained stable with a two-year lead time and over 80% accuracy.]]></description>
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