Goal of the Initial Dynamic Global Modeling System

Let’s start with a discussion of goals. The following paragraph is adapted from the proposal that we are showing to funding sources (http://www.globechange.org/ProposalIntro.html).

Our goal is to help bring the study of the Earth system into a modern scientific paradigm by … read more

A Global Model for Forecasting Political Instability

Abstract:

Examining onsets of political instability in countries worldwide from 1955 to 2003, we develop a model that distinguishes countries that experienced instability from those that remained stable with a two-year lead time and over 80% accuracy. … read more